Published: April 12, 2026 | Get a quote for your shipment
Air Cargo Demand Up 11.2% — IATA February 2026 Data
The International Air Transport Association (IATA) reported that global air cargo demand, measured in cargo tonne-kilometers (CTK), rose 11.2% in February 2026 compared to February 2025. This marks a continuation of the strong growth trend that has characterized the air freight market since late 2025.
Key Numbers at a Glance
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Global CTK growth (Feb 2026 vs Feb 2025) | +11.2% |
| IATA 2026 full-year forecast | +2.4% growth |
| Projected total cargo volume 2026 | 71.6 million tonnes |
| Baltic Air Freight Index (YoY) | +15.8% |
What’s Fueling the Growth?
Several trends are driving the robust demand figures. Cross-border e-commerce continues to grow rapidly, with direct-to-consumer shipments from Asian manufacturing hubs to Western markets representing an increasing share of air cargo volumes. Pharmaceutical and healthcare logistics — particularly cold-chain shipments — remain a strong growth segment. Traditional manufacturing supply chains are also contributing, as companies diversify sourcing and maintain higher safety stock levels following recent disruptions.
Clouds on the Horizon
Despite the encouraging headline numbers, IATA’s full-year growth forecast is a more conservative 2.4%. The Middle East conflict that escalated in late February has introduced significant uncertainty. Rising fuel costs, capacity disruptions through Gulf cargo hubs, and rerouting of flights are all factors that could dampen growth in the months ahead. The organization projects airlines will carry approximately 71.6 million tonnes of cargo in 2026, but this estimate carries significant downside risk depending on geopolitical developments.
What This Means for Shippers
Strong demand combined with constrained capacity typically means higher rates and longer booking lead times. Shippers planning shipments for Q2-Q3 2026 should expect continued rate pressure, particularly on Asia-Europe and Asia-North America corridors. Planning ahead and comparing options across carriers is more important than ever.
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FAQ
What does 11.2% CTK growth mean for air freight prices?
Higher demand typically pushes prices up, especially when capacity is constrained. With freighter supply tight and fuel costs elevated, the demand growth is contributing to the rate increases seen across most trade lanes in early 2026.
How much cargo do airlines carry globally?
IATA projects airlines will carry approximately 71.6 million tonnes of cargo in 2026. Air freight represents about 1% of global trade volume but over 35% of trade value — it’s the preferred mode for high-value, time-sensitive goods.
Data referenced from IATA press releases and industry analysis. Disclaimer.